The Aftermath
There is an expression in poker that suggests that there are two kinds of people who play the game. One laughs and has a great time after winning a hand and raking in the winnings, while the other asks the dealer for a new hand. The same happens, it seems, after an election.
The winner celebrates and gives speeches congratulating everyone and basking in the glory. The loser, after conceding, quietly disappears into the shadows only to ask for a recount the next day. This season is no different.
Jill Stein, who received about 1% of the vote nationally, asked for a recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. She tells us that there is no evidence of wrongdoing, but that the count is necessary to ensure the integrity of our voting system. Others suggest that a recount makes sense because the victory margins were so small.
When the recount fails to deliver, there is one more card to play: who got the most votes nationally. People consciously ignore the fact that the U.S. is a federal republic with 50 states, and the Founding Fathers instituted the Electoral College to prevent large (population or physical size) states from bullying smaller states. They will tell you that the system is undemocratic. They advocate changing the ground rules blaming them for the loss.
Truth is that under different rules Trump’s strategy would have been different and possibly yield the same end result.
Reality
The American voting process is notoriously antiquated and the most troubled among the developed countries. Every election allegations of abuses, real and imagined tantalize voters. Unlike other countries the U.S. does not have a national photo I.D. card. Some suggest that the Social Security card is a form of identification, but it lacks a photo and robust verify mechanism.
Voter legislation varies from state to state. The voting data collection methods range from paper to electronic. States with a checkered civil rights history and states with notorious voter fraud history are suspect of vote manipulation and other shenanigans in order to stuff the ballot box. Conspiracy theorists construct a variety of circumstantial stories to support their theory.
It is a fact that voter rolls are not purged of dead people. It is a fact that some people are enrolled to vote in more than one state. It is true that absentee ballots can be easily manipulated. What we do not know is the actual percentage of illegitimate votes.
A Little History
The U.S. has a checkered past when it comes to voting. Jim Crow tactics were used after the Emancipation Declaration to keep African-Americans from voting in the South. Poll tax, literacy tests, and other subterfuges have been used to disenfranchise minorities and poor folks. In the Northern states more subtle ways have been used to keep some voters from casting their vote, such as locating polling places far away from were people live, scheduling voting hours while people are still at work, physical intimidation, long wait lines, unsheltered waiting areas during inclement weather, and so forth.
In later years, another method has been used to dilute minority voting through gerrymandering districts or by bundling large minority voters so that some minority candidates could more easily win the election. The latter has been widely used in large urban areas where minorities are more concentrated.
It is no secret that both political parties will try to enact laws that give them a political advantage. The courts often are called to rule against attempts to play games with the right to vote.
Let me advance my own observations, fully realizing that my knowledge is limited and that my bias is toward a uniform national voting regime with better verification methods.
Voter Suppression
On the left, Democrats accuse Republicans of enacting laws and regulations intended to suppress voter participation, principally the vote of minorities and the poor. They argue that requiring voters to prove citizenship can be a costly process for those who do not have ready access to their birth or naturalization papers. Some do not have a valid driver license. Therefore, asking to submit any of these documents is discriminatory and an attempt at disenfranchisement.
On the right, Republicans will argue that federal regulations require that travelers produce a passport or valid driver’s license before they are allowed to board a flight. They describe their own inspired regulations to be driven by fraud prevention.
Democrats agree that there are cases where people vote multiple times, and in multiple states. They also acknowledge that some non-citizens vote even though not eligible. But, in their view, the number is so small as to be inconsequential.
We have seen cases where during the recount of a close election a large block of votes appears out of nowhere to tip the scale in favor of the candidate of the majority party in that state. The election of JFK was supposedly the result of such manipulation by the Chicago Democrat machine. Others will point out that the same was attempted in Florida during the Bush versus Gore recount.
As we have seen in this and other elections, often the margin between the winner and loser can be miniscule. On a local basis in fact, the margin can be so thin that the winner has less than 10 more votes (Los Altos, CA 2016 City Council race).
Voter Unconstraint
Republicans have suspected for years a hidden and sinister agenda behind the Democrats’ push for open borders. Under the guise of family re-unification, providing safe heaven, and filling hard-to-find skills the Democrats are suspected of ulterior motives.
What better way to dilute Republican control of certain jurisdictions than opening the border and letting people in that historically will vote left? By engaging in identity politics, Democrats seem to favor letting in those most likely to support their agenda.
During the last presidential election, the Democrat Party positioned itself as the party of choice by the African-American, Latino, LGBT, and college educated voters. Unfortunately, not all Latinos voted Democrat, and many African-Americans did not show up to vote. To their chagrin, Democrats ignored their traditional constituency – the working class. Clinton offended this group of voters by using the pejorative term of a basket of deplorables.
Another coup for unconstraint voting was permitting illegal aliens to receive a driver’s license in eight states. In California alone, over 800,000 such licenses have been issued. These licenses meet federal regulations but have an apparently innocuous mark saying that the license does not comply with some federal requirements. It is estimated that more than 2 million such licenses have been issued throughout the United States.
If you have such a diver’s license, you can vote in most jurisdictions. No one will dare to challenge your right to vote. So potentially 2 million bogus votes can be cast. Of course, not all will do so, but will enough take advantage of this loophole and cast a vote? Sure! Estimates range from 20-30%. In California alone this would account for 200,000-300,000 illegal votes. California has a Latino population that exceeds 40%, not counting millions of illegals (the so-called undocumented). Hillary Clinton received more than 2 million votes than Trump in California. The state is heavily Democrat and pretty much a one party state with the enactment of the open primary system.
California starting next year will automatically add diver licensees to the voter roll. This surely will enable legal and illegal aliens to cast their vote although ineligible to do so.
Where Next?
Loopholes, casual enforcement, outright fraud, and system’s glitches will continue to fuel the need for reform. Streamlined and verifiable procedures across state lines are essential. Surely, a country as developed as the U.S. can come up with a better system that ensures that all eligible voters can exercise their right to vote and knock off abuse and chicanery.
Tony Tasca
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